NCAA Tournament March Madness

#101 Florida St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: likely out

Florida State’s résumé reads like a team with a couple of gritty moments but too many damaging defeats. Its best moments, a road victory at Miami and a tight home win over California, show it can compete but those highlights are overwhelmed by lopsided neutral-site losses to Texas A&M and Houston and ugly defeats at Georgia and NC State along with heavy setbacks at Dayton, North Carolina and Syracuse. The lack of consistent success away from home and poor results in neutral environments leave the profile without the kind of road and neutral wins the committee values. Upcoming chances at Notre Dame and at Virginia Tech and home dates with Virginia and Stanford provide clear opportunities to repair the résumé, but without resume-repair in those spots Florida State looks likely to be on the wrong side of the bubble.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Alcorn St344W108-76
11/7Alabama St313W101-64
11/11@Florida8L78-76
11/18TN Martin211W87-73
11/21Ga Southern245W98-72
11/25CS Bakersfield303W89-59
11/28(N)Texas A&M33L95-59
12/2Georgia34L107-73
12/6(N)Houston6L82-67
12/13(N)Massachusetts179L103-95
12/16@Dayton85L97-69
12/19MS Valley St365W96-49
12/22Jacksonville289W87-63
12/30@North Carolina28L79-66
1/3Duke3L91-87
1/10NC State24L113-69
1/13@Syracuse77L94-86
1/17Wake Forest74L69-68
1/20@Miami FL38W65-63
1/24@SMU37L83-80
1/28California66W63-61
1/31Stanford8154%
2/7@Notre Dame7932%
2/10Virginia1619%
2/14@Virginia Tech5525%
2/17Boston College14574%
2/21@Clemson2913%
2/24Miami FL3832%
2/28@Georgia Tech12948%
3/4@Pittsburgh10039%
3/7SMU3731%